SVM

Before moving forward with the to-do list, let’s throw a Random Forest to it.

SVM

For many reasons, Random Forest is usually a very good baseline model. In this particular case I started with the polynomial OLS as baseline model, just because it was so evident from the correlations that the relationship between temperature and consumption follows a polynomial shape. But let’s go back to a beloved RF.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning:

The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning:

Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Model Cards provide a framework for transparent, responsible reporting. 
 Use the vetiver `.qmd` Quarto template as a place to start, 
 with vetiver.model_card()
Writing pin:
Name: 'wd-svm'
Version: 20241220T100716Z-45209
<vetiver.vetiver_model.VetiverModel at 0x7efbd6dc2050>
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning:

The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning:

Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Metrics

Single Split CV
train test test train
MAE - Mean Absolute Error 7.165982 6.431199 2.557558 2.745687
MSE - Mean Squared Error 59.876667 50.994763 11.646810 19.819983
RMSE - Root Mean Squared Error 7.738002 7.141062 3.297463 4.447718
R2 - Coefficient of Determination 0.368894 0.307164 -3.779811 0.797317
MAPE - Mean Absolute Percentage Error 0.872606 0.965602 0.555176 0.194115
EVS - Explained Variance Score 0.830831 0.805487 -0.998531 0.820713
MeAE - Median Absolute Error 7.036546 6.498657 2.204962 1.753470
D2 - D2 Absolute Error Score -0.003846 -0.068322 -1.090618 0.608533
Pinball - Mean Pinball Loss 3.582991 3.215599 1.278779 1.372843

Scatter plot matrix

Observed vs. Predicted and Residuals vs. Predicted

Check for …

check the residuals to assess the goodness of fit.

  • white noise or is there a pattern?
  • heteroscedasticity?
  • non-linearity?

Normality of Residuals:

Check for …

  • Are residuals normally distributed?

Leverage

Scale-Location plot

Residuals Autocorrelation Plot

Residuals vs Time

Well, not that bad, but it is overfitting quite a lot.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
Model Cards provide a framework for transparent, responsible reporting. 
 Use the vetiver `.qmd` Quarto template as a place to start, 
 with vetiver.model_card()
Writing pin:
Name: 'wd-svm'
Version: 20241220T100721Z-4cfff
{'vars__columns': ['tt_tu_mean', 'td_mean', 'vp_std_mean', 'tf_std_mean']}
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Metrics

Single Split CV
train test test train
MAE - Mean Absolute Error 2.349967 1.814365 2.195177 2.542917
MSE - Mean Squared Error 15.500759 14.027483 8.126781 17.562840
RMSE - Root Mean Squared Error 3.937100 3.745328 2.772282 4.189113
R2 - Coefficient of Determination 0.836620 0.809417 -2.774624 0.820476
MAPE - Mean Absolute Percentage Error 0.189492 0.180304 0.469407 0.179508
EVS - Explained Variance Score 0.837800 0.822298 -0.586582 0.823830
MeAE - Median Absolute Error 1.502770 1.185485 1.792824 1.548820
D2 - D2 Absolute Error Score 0.670805 0.698606 -0.836664 0.637801
Pinball - Mean Pinball Loss 1.174983 0.907183 1.097589 1.271459

Scatter plot matrix

Observed vs. Predicted and Residuals vs. Predicted

Check for …

check the residuals to assess the goodness of fit.

  • white noise or is there a pattern?
  • heteroscedasticity?
  • non-linearity?

Normality of Residuals:

Check for …

  • Are residuals normally distributed?

Leverage

Scale-Location plot

Residuals Autocorrelation Plot

Residuals vs Time

TODOs